TV7 Powers in Play – Ukraine’s “Israel Model," Non-NATO Assurances?

One motive of Russian President Vladimir Putin for his invasion of Ukraine has been Kiev’s wish to join NATO and place itself under its collective security umbrella. In a race of who would preempt whom, Putin beat Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy only to be bogged down in a war of attrition.

The problem now is that there seems to be no possible compromise between the two positions. It’s either Ukraine in NATO, in which case the Alliance borders Russia in yet another painful place, or not; as well as determination as to sovereignty over Crimea, Donbass and other disputed territories.

A diplomatic effort now underway involves ex-NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen and Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine Andriy Yermak that is seemingly backed by French President Emmanuel Macron. They refer to the initiative as “the Israeli model” - security guarantees short of a Defense Treaty (which requires domestic legislation) or Alliance membership (requiring consensus).

How feasible is such a formula?
What are the lessons learned from the Israeli experience - of having tried multiple approaches to France, the United States and NATO since the 1950’s but making do with declarations of “iron-clad commitments?"
Can this be a serious yet also face-saving proposal which will help end the war?

Panel:
- Host: Amir Oren, TV7 Editor at Large, Host of TV7 Watchmen Talk.
- Col. (Ret.) Dr. Eran Lerman, Co-Host of TV7 Middle East Review, Powers in Play Panelist, JISS VP and Editor in Chief of the Jerusalem Strategic Tribune.
- Amb. Danny Ayalon, Co-host TV7 Middle East Review, NYU Lecturer, former Israeli Deputy Foreign Minister and Ambassador to the US.
- Col. (Res.) Reuven Ben-Shalom, TV7 Powers-in-Play Panelist, Cross-Cultural Strategist and Associate at ICT, Reichman University.
- Brig. Gen. (Res.) Doron Gavish, Former Air Defense Chief, Israel Air Force.

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